It is only 19 days until the midterm elections in the U.S., and since there are some who will be voting early (and some may have already voted), I am writing about those extraordinarily important elections now—although I realize that this post will not likely change how anyone will vote. Still . . . .
John Darkow in the Columbia Missourian (10/12)
The most important elections on November 8 are those
for the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives, although there are also
significant gubernatorial and other state elections as well.
For example, each state’s secretary of state is quite
important as they could skew elections, as The Washington Post clearly delineated
last month in an article titled "What
an election denier could do if elected secretary of state.”
By far, though, the most important elections are in the 34
states that will be voting for a Senator. The voters in those states will
determine which Party will be in control of the Senate for the next two years.
And, as is true every two years, all 435 Representatives in
Congress will be elected in November.
The winners of many of those 469 elections are almost
certain already. In my home state of Missouri, the Republican candidate for
Senator has a 99% chance of winning according to FiveThirtyEight (538), the website
that focuses on opinion poll analysis
And Rep. Sam Graves in Missouri’s sixth district (where I
live) will almost certainly be re-elected for a twelfth term as a U.S.
Representative. So, for us Missouri (and sixth district) voters, voting is
important mainly for statewide and county offices.
But there are several states where the senatorial election
is of great importance. According to 538, the closest, and thus the most
significant, races currently are in Nevada, Georgia, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, North
Carolina, and Ohio.
The most troubling elections on November 8 are those that
include candidates who do not accept the outcome of the 2020 presidential
election.
“A majority of GOP
nominees deny or question the 2020 election results” is the title of an October
12 article in The Washington Post. According to author Amy Gardner, there
are 291 candidates who have challenged or refused to accept Joe Biden’s victory—51
percent of the 569 analyzed.
In spite of warnings that citizens should not vote for
candidates who deny or question the outcome of the 2020 election even though
there is ample evidence that it was a fair election and there is no proof whatsoever
that it was “stolen,” sadly, many will vote for those nominees anyway.
The article mentioned above links to a list of the deniers
in every state. The Missouri Republican candidate for the Senate and for the
sixth district are both on that list—and as I indicated above, both are almost
certain to win their respective races.
The November 8 elections are extraordinarily important
because the future of democracy in the USA is in grave jeopardy if those who
deny or disregard election results take control of Congress.
The October 10 opinion piece by eminent
columnist Eugene Robinson (b. 1954) was titled, “The 2022 midterms are the most
important of my lifetime.” (Click
here to read that article without a paywall.) Here is part of what he
wrote:
Vital issues are at stake on Election Day. Abortion rights are gravely threatened after the Supreme Court’s decision overturning Roe v. Wade. Voting rights, especially for minorities, are imperiled. Efforts to fight climate change and make the transition to a clean-energy economy would at least be slowed if Republicans took either the House or the Senate.
But the overarching issue is what President Biden calls the fight for “the soul of this nation.” Do we continue our halting but undeniable progress toward making the Constitution’s guarantees of rights and freedoms apply to all Americans? Or do we reverse course?
“Will the U.S. Remain a Democracy?” was the title of my May
25 blog post. Now, nearly five months later, it is even more questionable
that democracy will prevail in this country. To a large extent, the answer to
the question depends on the outcome of the November 8—and the 2024—elections.
How will you vote?