Thursday, November 10, 2022

Election Reflections (Nov. 2022)

The results of Tuesday’s midterm elections in the U.S. are mostly, but not completely, known at this point. I thought about waiting until my Nov. 15 blog post to share my election reflections, but I decided to go ahead and write this on the day after those important November 8 elections. 

Although most of you Thinking Friends and other of my blog readers know which political party I identify with, please know that I write what I do here primarily from the viewpoint of a progressive Christian believer, not as the member of any political party.   

THE MOST ENCOURAGING RESULTS:

** Democracy is surviving. In spite of challenges, it seems that democracy is alive and well in the U.S. Historian Mark K. Updegrove tweeted that Tuesday’s “big winners” include, “Democracy, with huge voter turnout and many high-profile election deniers losing big.”

On Nov. 2, President Biden gave an important speech urging the citizenry to protect democracy. Yesterday, one week later, he gave another speech in which he said that Tuesday had been “a good day for democracy.”

** The Democrats will probably retain control of the Senate. Although we will not know until after the runoff election on Dec. 6 in Georgia, it seems likely that control will remain with the Democrats. This is of great importance for the President, especially for the appointment of judges.

** Two noteworthy results in Pennsylvania. Not only was the election of John Fetterman crucial for the Democrats retaining control of the Senate, the defeat of Doug Mastriano’s bid for the governorship was also a victory for religious freedom and maintaining the separation of church and state.

** Two noteworthy results (maybe) in Arizona. The likely re-election of Sen. Mark Kelly was also crucial for the Democrats, and the probable defeat of Kari Lake for the governorship was also significant as she is one of the most outspoken MAGA Republicans and “darling” of right-wing extremists.

THE MOST DISAPPOINTING RESULTS:

** The Republicans have gained control of the House. Although it may be several days before the final numbers are known, the Republicans now have a small majority in the House.

Why is this disappointing? Among other things, the January 6 Committee will likely be disbanded before completion of its work, legislation to fight global warming will probably lessen greatly, and perhaps there will be impeachment charges against Pres. Biden and Attorney General Garland.

However, the size of the GOP majority is far less than most political pundits expected.

Here are the opposition Party’s House gains in three recent midterm elections: the Dems. gained 31 seats in 2006, the Reps. gained 63 seats in 2010, and the Dems gained 41 seats in 2018. This year the expected “red wave” was more like what one of my friends called a “pink puddle.”

** The defeat of good candidates by questionable opponents. There are many names that might be noted here, but two of those are Mandela Barnes, who lost his bid for the Wisconsin Senate seat, and J.D. Vance, who won the Senate seat in Ohio.

Barnes (b. 1986) narrowly lost to incumbent Ron Johnson, a staunch ally of Donald Trump. Barnes was vying to become the first Black Senator from Wisconsin, but lost by just 1%, perhaps mainly because of the racist attack ads against him (see here).

I was impressed by Vance in the movie Hillbilly Elegy, based on his 2016 memoir. But even though he was originally a critic of Trump, in Oct. 2021 he expressed agreement with Trump’s claim that he lost the 2020 election because of voter fraud. Subsequently, Trump endorsed Vance.

I was also sad that Stacey Abrams lost (for the second time) her bid to become the governor of Georgia. But I am hopeful that she will be instrumental in the re-election of Sen. Warnock in the Dec. runoff as she was in 2020.

Well, there is so much more that could (and maybe should) be said about this week’s midterm elections, but this, in part, is the view from this Seat/seat at this point. How do things look from where you are sitting?

12 comments:

  1. In Los Angeles we were subjected to attack ads by GOP Rep. Michelle Steel (Korean American) against her rival Democrat Jay Chen, unjustly implying that he was a Chinese Communist sympathizer. In 30 years in Japan, I do not remember any attack ads. This made me appreciate aspects the civility of Japan's group society. Dickson Yagi.

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    1. Thanks for your comments, Dickson--and for being the first to comment even though you are on PST. (We old men tend to get up early, don't we!)

      Since I didn't watch much TV in Japan (just as I don't watch much TV here in the States), I don't remember much of seeing many political ads of any kind. What I do remember, and one thing I appreciated most about elections in Japan, is the time limitation for campaigning. That campaigning was often quite vigorous, but for a very limited period of time, especially compared with what goes on in this country.

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  2. The same! I'm especially pleased about Sharice Davids overcoming the gerrymandering. I also commend last night's blog by Heather Cox Richardson, in which she gives one paragraph about how gerrymandering sometimes backfires on those gaming the system.

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    1. Anton, I appreciate your early morning comments also. I join you in being pleased with Rep. Davids's re-election and would like to have mentioned her in the blog post. She has the widespread support of most of my Rainbow Mennonite Church friends who live in her district.

      Early this morning, as usual, I read Richarson's "letter" she posted last night and thought about changing the quote from Updegrove's tweet to her opening statement: "Yesterday was a good day for democracy. Americans turned out to defend our principles from those who denied our right to choose our own leaders. There was little violence, the election appears to have gone smoothly, and there are few claims of 'fraud.'”
      (https://heathercoxrichardson.substack.com/p/november-9-2022)

      Regarding gerrymandering: while it may not always turn out the way the state Party in power intends, it is my understanding that a few Republican Representatives in Florida were elected because of the successful gerrymandering efforts of Gov. DeSantis.

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  3. Mostly with you Leroy. Not surprised but still disappointed in the Texas outcome. Looks like Texas is thoroughly red for the foreseeable future.

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    1. Well, I don't know a lot about Texas politics, but early on I thought Beto had a shot at winning the governorship over Abbott, but he not only lost but with 95% of the votes counted is losing by10%.

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  4. Here are comments from Thinking Friend Eric Dollard in Chicago:

    "Thanks, Leroy, for your observations about the election with which I agree, and although I do not believe that democracy is alive and well, it is off life support, at least for now.

    "The Democrats did much better than expected, but they would have done even better if they had forcefully addressed economic issues. Fetterman did so in Pennsylvania, and it worked. Here in Illinois, most of the ads by Democrats emphasized the abortion issue without much reference to other issues. This worked, but it might have worked better if other issues had been addressed. The ads by Republicans emphasized crime, which is something of a problem in Chicago (and elsewhere), and inflation. As usual, the Republicans offered no solutions."

    "Too many Democrats are indebted to moneyed issues for them to frame a progressive approach to economic issues, although they are not nearly as beholden to the very wealthy as the Republicans. One reason I do not consider American democracy to be 'alive and well' is because of the obscene amounts of money poured into political campaigns, especially by corporations and the very wealthy. Couldn't all this money be used for more constructive purposes?"

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    1. [This is a corrected version of the response I posted on the evening of Nov. 10.]
      Thanks for your thoughtful comments, Eric. And although I don't know if it is a problem of democracy as such, I certainly think there needs to be significant election finance reform, limiting the money that can be spent as well as controlling the "dark money" used in elections.

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  5. Thinking Friend Bob Hanson in Wisconsin sent the following comments and poem that he had received from his pastor. He said they were helpful for him.

    "It is the next day. They always come, no matter the election results. The next day comes and brings with it next steps, next opportunities, next challenges, next sorrows, next celebrations. We, however, do not merely wait for what comes next. We act; we pray; we live defiantly joyful lives. May these words of Wendell Berry help to guide us today and the next, and the next after that."

    The Real Work (by Wendell Berry)

    It may be that when we no longer know what to do
    we have come to our real work,

    and that when we no longer know which way to go
    we have come to our real journey.

    The mind that is not baffled is not employed.

    The impeded stream is the one that sings.

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  6. Eric, I had a chuckle when I read your reply because we’re thinking in common metaphors, and just a few hours ago, I posted on FB that democracy didn’t die, but it’s on life support. —Anton

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  7. Sharice Davids' victory in spite of a gerrymandered district is somewhat consoling for me, but I'm still resentful at having the county where I live (Wyandotte) divided into two separate congressional districts. I'm still in her district, barely. — Clif H.

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    1. Thanks for your comments, Clif, but I am just happy Rep. Davids was re-elected. I was afraid with the re-districting she would not win another term.

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