Sunday, April 5, 2020

Learning from the Covid-19 Pandemic

It goes without saying that this is an unusual and highly critical time in the history of this country and of the world. According to Worldometers, by 8:30 pm (GMT) on April 5 the covid-19 pandemic had caused the deaths of more than 69,330 people worldwide and 9,550 people in the U.S.—and the worse is yet to come. Lives and livelihoods have been greatly disrupted for most people. What are some of the lessons that can be learned from all this?
Denial and Delay are Deadly
For those of us who live in the U.S., the seriousness of the covid-19 pandemic in the U.S. could certainly have been greatly lessened by swifter and more decisive action.
It seems to be without question that DJT denied the gravity of the threat for weeks and delayed taking steps that could have lessened the pandemic’s detrimental impact on the country.
On January 22, the day after the first case in the U.S. was confirmed, DJT declared in a CNBC interview, “We have it totally under control.” In a tweet more than a month later, on Feb. 24, he reaffirmed, “The Coronavirus is very much under control in the USA.”
And less than a month ago DJT was still blaming “fake news” and the Democrats for exaggerating the seriousness of the pandemic. He tweeted, 
In mid-March the President finally switched to recognizing the seriousness of the pandemic. Nevertheless, it seems incontrovertible that the spread of covid-19 cases and the number of deaths in the U.S. have been at least partially due to his denial of the problem and delay in taking decisive action.
In this case, and others, denial and delay are often deadly. 
“Big Government” Is Necessary
Since the time of Ronald Reagan, many people in this country have agreed with his first inaugural address declaration in 1981: “Government is not the solution to our problem, government is the problem."
For a long time, and especially during these last four decades, the Republican Party has emphasized the advantages of having a small federal government.
But what about now?
The covid-19 pandemic has made it evident that the problems faced by USAmerican citizens are much too great to be dealt with only on state or local levels. Accordingly, Congress passed and on March 27 the President signed a massive relief bill.
That bill, called the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security Act (CARES Act) Is a $2.2 trillion aid package that will provide financial aid to families and businesses impacted by the current pandemic.
While there are certainly serious questions about the CARES Act—such as there being too much money made available, without adequate oversight, to large corporations—it will substantially benefit many ordinary people who are suffering financially.
Yes, in times of crisis, big government is necessary and beneficial.
Things Will Change Drastically
You know these dates: 10/24/1929 (“Black Thursday”), 12/7/1941 (“Pearl Harbor”), and, of course, 9/11/2001. Those are days that marked the beginning of long, significant changes in American society—although by now the latter date seems much less consequential than the first two.
But 1/21/20 (the date of the first covid-19 case confirmed in the U.S.) may result in drastic changes that will rival those pivotal dates in 1929 and 1941.
In the U.S., the death toll from covid-19 surely won’t be as high as in WWII (over 400,000), but before the end of March it surpassed that of 9/11 and in time it may well exceed the combined total of the wars in Korea and Vietnam (around 95,000).
It is hard to imagine at this point what life will be like in the U.S. by the end of next year. There will likely be some drastic changes—and some things may be even worse than most of us can imagine now.
But life will go on—at least for most. Adaptations can and will be made. And, overall, some drastic changes may well be for the better. At least that can be our hope and our prayer.

20 comments:

  1. I would bet that evaluations will fall right along partisan lines - Democrat, Socialist, Green, liberal in favor; Republican, Libertarian, US Independent, conservative opposed. Having seen big, "socialist', "popular front" governments in my day, and having studied economics (including classical, Keyensian, socialist), I would prefer to keep government as it was (less bureaucracy than present). As a note, Laissez Faire economics doesn't work either.

    Like you, I grew up in the time of Smallpox, Polio, Plague, and Malaria. And poor treatment of people by the government because of the color of their skin (white and shades thereof).

    But I would agree that we should pray in perilous times.

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    1. I don't know what the finan "evaluations" will be, but the CARES Act was passed by the Senate on a 96-0 vote. That doesn't sound like partisanship. -- And those who don't like big government and don't want to received their relief check from the federal government are free to return it or at least give it to someone who needs it worse--and there are going to be a lot of people who are seriously affected by the covid-19 pandemic and unable to get necessary help from only state and/or local governments and charities.

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    2. That is a very valid point. The Republicans certainly have tended to be more talk than action when it comes to spending (the reason Keynesian Econ does not work and turns into the Zimbabwe econ model). The Libertarians and AIP less so. I do know some who are in a tight place and may lose their businesses, and their employees even tighter despite the generous Work Comp. I have been giving 50% tips for carry-out. We don't need the extra, so your question is good - send it back, or give it to someone struggling. FEMA is a poster child for government inefficiency (as are others). I do know a couple of people who work for that bureaucracy. Would that the Church would take their mandate more seriously - but they tend to be too "me" oriented, especially in the west. I do know that our neighborhood Bible study group, local church, and Rotary club are using their resources to help those in need in the community. I have also been using the residuals from my previous business to assist former clients in need.

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  2. I read your article “Governors plead for medical equipment from federal stockpile plagued by shortages and confusion”. I have worked in the area of disaster for the last forty years. The issue is always DJT and FEMA.

    They arrive on scene in their starched shirts and new pants and take over the crisis and fail to carry their mandated mission. NO matter the size of the disaster they are always inept and play politics to the detriment of those caught in the disaster.

    In 1994 during the floods in the Midwest hundreds of people were displaced because of the flood waters. Across the area there were mobile homes sitting in FEMA controlled fields, waiting to be used for such a disaster as the floods. Displaced families never received the needed trailers.

    In Florida and hurricane Charlie, FEMA moved in and took control of the disaster. They shut down feeding units and failed to take care of the effected senior citizens (FEMA placed them in school gyms with little regard for their needs). The FEMA leadership fought over who was in charge and ignored the needed support that the people needed.

    During Katrina it was the same scenario FEMA showed up and took control failing to listen to local responders and failing to move trailers, dollars, and other supplies into the affected areas.

    My list could go on, but my point is, President Trump and the Governors are depending on a failed system. Mr. Trump has taken a hands-off approach regarding FEMA and Congress continues to allow FEMA to manage itself. Repeatedly, FEMA has failed to carry out its mandate and repeatedly the Administration allows it to continue to be inept and fail the American people.

    And DJT thinks his son-in-law has the brains to manage FEMA!

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    1. Thanks for your lengthy comments, Frank. You certainly highlight the problem of government bureaucracy, and certainly government programs need to be improved in order to do what they were designed to do.

      Because of the problems you mentioned, those who are against big government want to do away with many federal government programs. Since FEMA has been so inefficient, do you think it ought to be scrapped? Surely it has done more good than harm, But along with affirming the need and importance of big government, I think you are correct in emphasizing the need for proper control and management of government programs.

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    2. The main issue is the leadership of the FEMA and other organizations that are political or forms of nepotism. DJT's son-in-law is a prime example. I am not adverse to big government. However, these leadership positions should be given people who have knowledge and the skill to do the job. I highlight the lacking of FEMA because they would have people believe that all is well. FEMA hides the issues that plague National responses that are seldom dealt with.

      My complaint is that the American people expect that they will receive life saving help during a crisis. FEMA and its leadership create a second disaster and will not own up to their failings.

      The political structures will not intervene to make sure administrations are prepared to respond to states, counties, cities and towns.

      The people on the ground attempting to assist hurting people work hard only to be sabotaged by up line leadership.

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  3. Another wake-up call and I am wondering how many more we are going to have before we finally wake-up?
    Like Others to Give your advice&opinion on where you feel we are headed and when.
    I feel we very well could be at the point where life,as where we know it, could be at an end-Only GOD knows for sure.
    Respectfully,
    John(Tim) Carr

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  4. As I try to keep my "work" activities to a minimum on Sunday, I am just now posting some comments received yesterday about this new blog post. Here are comments from Thinking Friend Eric Dollard in Chicago:

    "Taiwan learned from the SARS epidemic in 2003 and so it was well-prepared for Covid-19 and it has been the most successful country in containing the virus. One lesson, hopefully learned here in the US, is the folly of underfunding important government functions.

    "The CARES Act will help many people, but it is somewhat misdirected and additional funding will be needed. Funding should be going to employers, especially small businesses, so that they can retain their employees, pay them, and still be in business when the lockdowns end. Controls of some sort, to insure that the funds are being used properly, would probably be needed."

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  5. Local Thinking Friend Steve Hemphill wrote,

    "I hope you are correct about those two lessons to be learned from this virus. My concern is there are also going to be negative results, such as: people traveling less, keeping distance from strangers and relying too much on the internet for our religious and educational needs.

    "I'm looking forward to be freed from this lock down status but anxious about the long term effects."

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  6. Here are comments from Thinking Friend Glenn Hinson in Kentucky:

    "I would hope that the trauma we are experiencing now might lead to beneficial changes in our outlook. For one, we should know more about preparing ourselves for another pandemic.

    "But on a more positive note, I hope we are learning how we love our neighbor and how important neighbor-love is. The net result may be recovery or attainment of the unity our nation aspires to with its motto 'e pluribus unum.'"

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  7. I appreciate these brief comments from local Thinking Friend Dub Steincross:

    "Splendid evaluation. Thank you for helping us THINK."

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  8. Temp Sparkman, another local Thinking Friend, shares these comments:

    "Leroy, the best thing that might come out of this crisis is that Republicans start thinking about nominating someone to compete with Trump.

    "Just maybe, the congress will continue the bipartisan cooperation that produced the rescue package. Except at the grocery store, people seem to be realizing we’re all in this together."

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    1. Temp, I like your second suggestion about a possible good outcome to the current pandemic crisis--it is in harmony with Dr. Hinson's comment above.

      But I disagree with your first suggestion. One of the very best things that might come out of this crisis is the Democratic candidate for President winning the November election and the Democrats gaining control of the Senate.

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  9. In my mind, as I read the article of the covid-19 issue, I believe that the only perfect time to panic is that there is no time to panic as long as we put our trust in the Lord and how cautious and cooperative we should be. This is something I could tell our authorities if they seek for advice. Thank you for posting my post on how we should shift ourselves from the fear zone to the growth zone as we learn to acknowledge that while we are in danger, we should not let danger rule us but rule the danger just as Paul the Apostle said that we should not let evil defeat us but defeat evil by doing good (Romans 12:21).

    While I disagree with both Abe and DJT, I pray that God would intercede at least with those who work under them who respectively disagree but care enough for the protection of humanity that both leaders can humbly learn and acknowledge for covid-19 to get slowed down to being stopped. Hope it helps!

    S.K.

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  10. Why does it have `Anonymous` by my published remarks when I put my name in?
    jc

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    1. John Tim, I am sorry you had trouble posting in your name.

      Below the box in which you write your comments, you must be signed in (see the button on the right side). And then when you choose the profile that you have registered, it will post with that name.

      I hope this helps.

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  11. Yesterday, local Thinking Friend Scott Lakin sent me the following comments:

    "Thanks, Leroy. Great info and accurate analysis of our situation. We are fools if we don't learn from this and we are fools if we re-elect this incompetent Administration. Read Michael Lewis' book 'the Fifth Risk.'"

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    1. Thanks, Scott; good to hear from you.

      Thanks for the book recommendation; I just heard about Lewis and his book on Sunday, and I want to learn more about it and hope to read at least some of it.

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  12. Tomorrow is Passover. This inspired an interesting article about the meaning of Passover during Covid-19, written by Rabbi Shai Held. It seems most of us are searching for meaning as we look at life from new angles. Read more here:

    https://www.cnn.com/2020/04/07/opinions/passover-coronavirus-lesson-vulnerability-held/index.html

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    1. Thanks for sharing this helpful article, Craig. The blog post I am now working on for Friday is partly about Passover.

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